BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 36 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 146.70
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2016 Home W 145.68 48 14 1B 51 ( 5- 6) William & Mary -0.95 * 34.95
2 09/10/2016 Away L 127.33 30 33 1A 94 ( 3- 9) East Carolina -19.30 16.30
3 09/17/2016 Home W 157.99 49 22 1A 79 ( 10- 3) Old Dominion 11.37 15.63
4 10/01/2016 Home W * 154.07 33 16 1A 68 ( 7- 6) Wake Forest 7.44 9.56
5 10/08/2016 Home W 151.35 10 3 1A 40 ( 4- 8) Notre Dame 4.72 2.28
6 10/15/2016 Away L * 161.26 17 24 1A 5 ( 13- 1) Clemson 14.64 -21.64
7 10/22/2016 Away L * 119.85 13 54 1A 8 ( 9- 4) Louisville -26.77 -14.23
8 10/29/2016 Home L * 124.75 14 21 1A 78 ( 7- 6) Boston College -21.88 14.88
9 11/05/2016 Home L * 152.15 20 24 1A 13 ( 10- 3) Florida St 5.52 -9.52
10 11/12/2016 Away W * 148.45 35 20 1A 80 ( 4- 8) Syracuse 1.83 13.17
11 11/19/2016 Home L * 139.67 13 27 1A 14 ( 9- 4) Miami FL -6.95 -7.05
12 11/25/2016 Away W * 159.71 28 21 1A 22 ( 8- 5) North Carolina 13.09 -6.09
13 12/26/2016 Neutral W 163.86 41 17 1A 56 ( 6- 7) Vanderbilt 17.23 6.77
Averages 146.62 27.0 22.8
Best game: 163.86 = 24 point win over Vanderbilt
Worst game: 119.85 = 41 point loss to Louisville
Team stdev: 14.55